21-F · Estimated cost vs. threshold

Goods + service lots, with the winning tender's estimated cost as a % of the applicable KİK threshold (yaklaşık maliyet ÷ eşik değer). 21-F (urgency-exception direct procurement) is only legal below 100%, and it piles up just under the ceiling — authorities maximising spend while staying eligible for the low-competition clause. Non-21-F is the clean baseline (it runs smoothly across 100%). The trendline is fit to the non-21-F counts just above 100% and extended below; the gap between the bars and the trendline below 100% is the 21-F excess.